Hawjs Basketball Betting News

<< Niemi decision expected by Saturday
CHICAGO (AP) -Blackhawks general manager Stan Bowman expects to learn on Saturday whether his salary cap-squeezed team will be able to keep restricted free agent goaltender Antti Niemi.After Bowman and Niemi's agent, Bill Zito, were unable to reach

<< Steelers sign former Cowboys T Adams
Pittsburgh, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Pittsburgh Steelers have reportedly signed veteran and longtime Dallas Cowboys tackle Flozell Adams. The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette on Thursday revealed the deal is for two years. A former second-ro

<< Broncos come to terms with Tebow
Englewood, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Denver Broncos agreed to terms with quarterback Tim Tebow, a first-round selection in the 2010 NFL Draft, on Thursday. Financial terms were not disclosed, but The Denver Post reports it is a

<< Orioles send Tejada to Padres
Baltimore, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Baltimore Orioles on Thursday traded veteran infielder Miguel Tejada and cash considerations to the San Diego Padres in exchange for right-hander Wynn Pelzer. Tejada batted .269 with seven ho

Tribe pitcher Talbot leaves game >>
Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Cleveland Indians starter Mitch Talbot left Thursday's game against the Yankees with an undisclosed injury. Talbot made his exit with a runner on first and none out in the third. Rafael Perez entered the g

Dolphins ink first-round pick Odrick >>
Davie, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Miami Dolphins and defensive lineman Jared Odrick have reportedly agreed to a five-year deal worth $13 million, including $7.133 million guaranteed. Additionally, second-round selection linebacker Koa M

Compton, Every share Greenbrier lead >>
White Sulphur Springs, WV (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Erik Compton, the two-time heart transplant recipient, fired a seven-under 63 Thursday to share the first-round lead with Matt Every at The Greenbrier Classic. Playing on another sponsor's exem

Giants waive injured S Jones >>
East Rutherford, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New York Giants have waived rookie safety Chad Jones with the intention of placing him on the reserve list. Jones was recently released from a New York hospital after a serious car accident

Betting Football

Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.