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Federer sneaks into quarterfinals

Tennis Betting Lines

09/02/2008 - Flushing Meadows, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - It took more than 3 1/2 hours, but Roger Federer kept alive his quest for a fifth straight U.S. Open title, earning a fourth-round, five-set victory over 23rd seed Igor Andreev of Russia.

Federer's 6-7 (5-7), 7-6 (7-5), 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 victory advanced him to the quarterfinals against an unlikely opponent, Gilles Muller of Luxembourg. Muller upset fifth-seeded Russian Nikolay Davydenko, 6-4, 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 (12-10).

The second-seeded Federer ran his winning streak to 31 at the U.S. Open, last losing in Flushing in 2003. The former long-time world No. 1 Swiss, a 12-time major champion, overcame 60 unforced errors, but dominated at the net, winning 58 of a possible 84 points. Conversely, Andreev was just 12-of-28 on his net approaches. Also, the Russian converted just 2-of-15 break point chances.

Federer won the first three games of the final set, which included a key break of serve in the second game. Andreev was successful on a drop shot, but Federer returned the ball to the right corner, and the Russian's backhand went wide as the Super Swiss went up 2-0.

Then came four break point saves by Federer in the seventh game, when he went ahead 5-2 before finally serving out for the match.

It marked just the third time ever that Federer has played five sets at the U.S. Open.

"I'm very happy with the score, of course you always wish three sets," said Federer. "Honestly, those five-setters are pretty fun too."

Davydenko reached the semifinals here the last two years, but couldn't handle Muller's expert play at the net. Muller converted 35-of-47 net approach opportunities.

Last year's runner-up Novak Djokovic was a hard-fought fourth-round winner Tuesday. The third-seeded Djokovic came from behind to beat game 15th-seeded Spaniard Tommy Robredo 4-6, 6-2, 6-3, 5-7, 6-3 on Day 9 at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center.

Djokovic struggled mightily physically on a warm Tuesday at the year's fourth and final major. The Serb was bothered by an upset stomach and a sore ankle, but ultimately outlasted the pesky Robredo in 3 hours, 44 minutes.

The 21-year-old Djokovic broke Robredo to grab a 3-2 lead in the fifth and final set and broke again four games later to finally end the battle at Ashe Stadium.

Djokovic converted on his first match point when Robredo netted one final forehand. The Serb, who let the Spaniard hang around by committing 58 unforced errors, wound up with 11 aces and broke Robredo's serve six times.

The 6-foot-3 Djokovic was last year's U.S. Open runner-up to Federer and captured the Australian Open title back in January.

The Olympic bronze medalist Djokovic will meet Tuesday night's Andy Roddick- Fernando Gonzalez winner in the quarterfinals. Roddick is a former world No. 1 who titled here back in 2003.


<< Senators acquire Shannon from Vancouver for Nycholat
Ottawa, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Ottawa Senators acquired forward Ryan Shannon from the Vancouver Canucks for defenseman Lawrence Nycholat on Tuesday. The 25-year-old Shannon, who helped Anaheim win the Stanley Cup in 2

<< Utah's Eliapo out with foot injury
Salt Lake City, UT (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Utah nose tackle Kenape Eliapo is expected to miss the next six to eight weeks with a left foot injury, coach Kyle Whittingham announced Tuesday. Eliapo, who played in all 13 games for the Ut

<< Tigers bring up four, transfer Bonderman and Wilson
Detroit, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Detroit Tigers have recalled right-handed pitcher Chris Lambert and lefty Clay Rapada from Triple-A Toledo and purchased the contracts of catcher Dusty Ryan and infielder Mike Hessman from Toledo on Tuesday

<< Nationals' Flores leaves game versus Phillies
Washington, DC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Washington Nationals catcher Jesus Flores left Tuesday's game against the Phillies after Chase Utley, while trying to score from third after a pickoff attempt to first base in the third inning, drove

<< Golden Gophers ink head coach Borton to six-year deal
Minneapolis, MN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Minnesota Golden Gophers inked head women's basketball coach Pam Borton to a new six-year contract on Tuesday. The new deal, announced by director of athletics Joe Maturi, was announced on Tuesday.

O's scratch Guthrie from Wednesday start >>
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Baltimore Orioles scratched Jeremy Guthrie from his scheduled start against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday. No replacement was named. Guthrie, who is 10-11 with a 3.57 earned run average in 29 starts this

Rangers C Saltalamacchia done for season >>
Arlington, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Texas Rangers catcher Jarrod Saltalamacchia is out for the rest of the season after suffering a strained muscle in his right forearm during Monday's 12-6 loss to Seattle. In the fifth inning, the catch

Jankovic, Dementieva advance to U.S. Open semis >>
Flushing Meadows, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Second seed Jelena Jankovic and fifth seed Elena Dementieva will meet in the semifinals at the U.S. Open after both posted victories on Tuesday. The Serbian Jankovic, who was ranked No. 1 in the

Hamels paces Phils to shutout of Nats >>
Washington, DC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Cole Hamels snapped baseball's most shocking winning streak of the season, blanking the Nationals into the eighth inning and keeping the Phillies close in the National League East race with a 4-0 vic

Dodgers' Kershaw brought back up >>
Los Angeles, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Los Angeles Dodgers recalled rookie pitcher Clayton Kershaw from Triple-A Las Vegas to start Tuesday's game against San Diego. The 20-year-old was optioned to Las Vegas following his last start, Thursda

Horse Betting

(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).

The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.

"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."

Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.

"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."

When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:

CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.

DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.

PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.

You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.

"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."

Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.

(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)

Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."

But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."

Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."

Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."

All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.

In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.

"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."

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