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Calderon's late three lifts Raptors over Bucks

Basketball Betting Lines

11/01/2008 - Milwaukee, WI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jose Calderon logged a game-high 25 points and hit the go-ahead three-pointer with 21.7 seconds remaining to lead the Toronto Raptors to a 91-87 victory over the Milwaukee Bucks.

Calderon also dished out nine assists for the Raptors, whose five starters each scored in double figures in their third straight win to open the season.

Chris Bosh recorded an all-around effort with 20 points, 10 rebounds and six assists, while Jamario Moon finished with 15 points for the victors.

Michael Redd led Milwaukee with 19 points and six rebounds, and Andrew Bogut scored eight of his 14 points in the fourth quarter in the home opener for the Bucks, who have lost two of three to start the year.

Charlie Villanueva scored 16 in defeat.

The Bucks trailed 70-60 heading into the final 12 minutes, but a 20-9 spurt to start the final frame gave the hosts their first lead of the second half.

Bogut accounted for eight points in the span and Richard Jefferson put Milwaukee ahead 80-79 on a running layup with a little more than three minutes remaining.

Bucks rookie Luc Mbah a Moute hit a hook shot over Bosh for an 85-84 lead, but Calderon was true from the behind the arc at the top of the key to put Toronto ahead for good with 21.7 ticks left.

Redd missed a long two from the corner on the next possession and Moon skied for the rebound before the Raptors closed things out at the foul line.

Milwaukee scored the first eight points of the game, but Toronto's inside- outside game piloted by Calderon responded with a 14-0 run midway through the first period.

The Raptors led by two after 12 minutes of play and held a 41-39 edge at the break.

A pair of layups from Jermaine O'Neal, who ended with 11 points, sparked a 12-0 run that pushed Toronto ahead 66-53 late in the third stanza.

Game Notes

Jefferson hit just 3-of-13 from the field for nine points...Anthony Parker had 11 points for Toronto...Jason Kapono (nine points) was the only Raptor off the bench to score...Toronto opened the season with three consecutive victories for the first time since 2004-05..The Raptors have won three straight over the Bucks.


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Betting Football

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.